Is Tesla's Self Driving Actually Getting Better?
The takeaway
Tesla's self driving is five times better across two generations, the rate of improvement is increasing, and the version now carrying paying passengers has ten times the brain of the one that produced those numbers.
Everybody argues about whether Tesla's self driving is safe. Almost nobody looks at the one number that shows whether it is getting better.
Tesla publishes no error rate for its self driving software. So a group of owners built the measurement themselves, logging every time the car does something bad enough that a person has to grab the wheel, each drive verified by screenshot.
Sources checked for this episode (13)
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