Stray Dog

Prices are Hyperliquid perpetual futures: contracts that track each stock and trade 24/7. They are not exchange prices and can differ from them, most of all while US markets are closed. Change is over 24 hours. For information only.

  • TSLA—
  • PLTR—
  • HIMS—
  • SPCX—
  • SOFI—
  • META—
  • BTC—
…Loading prices

What changes: growth and moats fade faster

Zoom’s 2020 boom was real; two years on, its sales were growing in single digits

−80%since the 2020 peak
$478, Nov 20201Apr 2019Oct 2026
  1. $478, Nov 2020

Month-end share prices since Zoom listed in April 2019. Source: Nasdaq

Why it matters

So we judge great and cheap differently: a great company has to keep its growth and its moat for years, and a price is only cheap if the growth lasts. 20% a year for 15 years multiplies profit about 15 times; 40% for 3 years, under 3 times.

15.4x
2.7x
20% a year for 15 years40% a year for 3 years
20% a year for 15 years15.4x
40% a year for 3 years2.7x
How much profit grows, by speed and length

2 of 3